AGCM中水平分辨率对逐时降水的模拟影响研究
编号:537 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-31 13:27:30 浏览:6次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年04月20日 15:15(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:10min

所在会场:[S1-15] 专题1.15 地球系统模式与模拟 [S1-15] 专题1.15 地球系统模式与模拟

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摘要
To analyze the effects of horizontal resolution on hourly precipitation, four Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project simulations are carried out using the Chinese Academy of Sciences Earth System Model (CAS-ESM) and the Community Earth System Model (CESM) during 1998-2016. They include CAS-ESM at resolutions of 1.4° latitude × 1.4° longitude (CAS-ESM L) and 0.5°× 0.5° (CAS-ESM H), and CESM at resolutions of 1.9° latitude× 2.5° longitude (CESM L) and 0.47°× 0.63° (CESM H), respectively. We focus on the simulated hourly precipitation frequency and assess the frequency with respect to high-resolution satellite observations and reanalysis. The high-resolution experiments show some improvements of measurable precipitation (>0.02 mm h-1) frequency. Noticeable improvement of heavy rainfall (>2 mm h-1) frequency is demonstrated at the high resolutions. The zonal mean, seasonal mean and area-weighted average frequency support the above results. The high-resolution experiments outperform the low-resolution experiments in reproducing hourly precipitation intensity and amount. The added value is apparent in heavy precipitation intensity from CAS-ESM H and CESM H. Over the monsoon regions and tropical convergence zones, the patterns of probability density functions for precipitation from high-resolution experiments are closer to the observations and reanalysis than those from the low-resolution simulations. The improvement of measurable precipitation frequency is mainly caused by the reductions of the convective rainfall occurrence at high resolutions. The increasing large-scale precipitation and reasonable integrated water vapor flux contribute to the improvements in measurable rainfall intensity and heavy precipitation characteristics. The results of this study support the concept that high-resolution global simulations could produce improved hourly precipitation capabilities, especially for heavy rainfall.
 
关键词
地球系统模式,水平分辨率,极端降水
报告人
孔祥慧
副研究员 中国科学院大气物理研究所

稿件作者
孔祥慧 中国科学院大气物理研究所
王爱慧 中国科学院大气物理研究所
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月17日

    2025

    04月20日

    2025

  • 04月03日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 04月20日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
中国科学院大气物理研究所
承办单位
中国科学院大气物理研究所
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