量化全球降水的空间不均匀性变化
编号:521 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-31 10:21:15 浏览:4次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年04月20日 09:45(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S3-6] 专题3.6 气候环境与数学 [S3-6] 专题3.6 气候环境与数学

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摘要
The spatial inhomogeneity of changes in global precipitation, which is directly related to extreme flooding or drought events, represents a significant feature of climate change. To date, limited studies quantified the spatial inhomogeneity of global precipitation and its long-term change. Aiming at solving the above challenge, this study introduces a novel but simple methodological framework that is able to (1) quantify the spatial inhomogeneity of global precipitation and its variability, (2) estimate contributions of different precipitation intensities and (3) assess contributions of different regions. In this framework, the spatial inhomogeneity is quantified by the spatial variance of gridded precipitation normalized by the global mean precipitation, namely spatial coefficient of variation (SCV). Then, the spatial probability density function (PDF) of precipitation intensity is introduced to identify contributions of different precipitation intervals that lead to changes in global precipitation inhomogeneity. Finally, the global inhomogeneity can be decomposed into intra-regional and inter-regional inhomogeneity components to estimate the contributions from different regions.
The result shows that the inhomogeneity of global annual precipitation has increased consistently across multiple datasets in the satellite era (1979–2021), attributed to the increasing area of both extremely high and low precipitation. Based on the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP V2.3) dataset, the increase in inhomogeneity of global annual precipitation is primarily contributed by the intra-regional inhomogeneity component of Northern Hemispheric tropical ocean (+ 60.2%) and Southern Hemispheric tropical ocean (+ 40.3%), and is partly offset by the inter-regional inhomogeneity component of Northern Hemispheric mid-latitude ocean (− 4.5%). This study demonstrates how the spatial inhomogeneity of global precipitation can be easily estimated, which is implications for quantifying, monitoring, and understanding changes in climate extremes. Our framework offers a tool for dataset or model assessment, particularly useful for the regions susceptible to extreme precipitation events.
关键词
气候变化,空间方差,空间变异系数,概率密度函数,降水
报告人
刘升源
博士研究生 广东海洋大学

稿件作者
刘升源 广东海洋大学
梁卓轩 国防科技大学
徐建军 广东海洋大学深圳研究院
张邦林 国防科技大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月17日

    2025

    04月20日

    2025

  • 04月03日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 04月20日 2025

    注册截止日期

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中国科学院大气物理研究所
承办单位
中国科学院大气物理研究所
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