Statistical Framework for Assessing Spatial Inhomogeneity and Asymmetry in Climate Change
编号:517 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-31 10:19:48 浏览:5次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年04月20日 09:30(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S3-6] 专题3.6 气候环境与数学 [S3-6] 专题3.6 气候环境与数学

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摘要

In mathematics, the moments of a function are measures that quantify the shape of the function. This function can take various forms, depending on the context of the application. For example, in Physics, if a function represents mass density, the first and second moments are referred to as the center of mass and the moment of inertia of a rigid body, respectively. In statistics, if the function represents a probability distribution, then the first, second, and third moments are interpreted as the expected value, variance, and skewness, respectively.

In climate science, if the function represents the spatial distributions of a climate variable, the moments provide quantitative insights into the spatial patterns of the variable. In particular, the second and third moments can be interpreted as indicators of spatial inhomogeneity and spatial asymmetry of the climate state, which is an important topic in climate change research.

In this presentation, we, based on the concept of 'moments', introduce a general statistical framework for studying the spatial inhomogeneity and spatial asymmetry of climate change. This framework can be applied to (1) quantify the spatial inhomogeneity and asymmetry of the climate state, (2) estimate the long-term variability climate inhomogeneity and asymmetry under climate change, and (3) identify the contributors of these long-term changes. The introduced framework has been successfully applied to research on the asymmetrical nature of global warming and spatial inhomogeneity of global precipitation trends. Given its simplicity and generality, this mathematical framework is adaptable to any variables of interest and/or combinations of variables.

关键词
climate change,spatial inhomogeneity,asymmetry,moment,global warming,precipitation
报告人
梁卓轩
副研究员 国防科技大学

稿件作者
梁卓轩 国防科技大学
刘升源 广东海洋大学
甘秋莹 中山大学
江愷瑤 澳门城市大学
张邦林 国防科技大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月17日

    2025

    04月20日

    2025

  • 04月03日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 04月20日 2025

    注册截止日期

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中国科学院大气物理研究所
承办单位
中国科学院大气物理研究所
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