Identification and classification of cold air outbreaks in East Asia and possible stratospheric harbingers
编号:324 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-27 15:27:17 浏览:6次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年04月19日 11:40(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:10min

所在会场:[S1-8] 专题1.8 极地与中低纬气候系统相互作用 [S1-8] 专题1.8 极地与中低纬气候系统相互作用

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摘要
Cold air outbreaks (CAOs) enormously influence agriculture, environment, industry, and other socio-economic activities in East Asia. This study objectively identifies and categorizes CAOs in East Asia by employing 3-dimensional CAO detection algorithm and k-means clustering method. The analysis identifies a total of 106 CAOs which are classified into three distinct types based on core cold anomaly positions: South, Mixed, and North types. The South type, with the fewest occurrences and shortest lifetime, exhibits a weak warm lobe over Europe and northern Asian coast, with the coldest anomalies over southern China. The Mixed type, most frequent and longest-lived, accompanies the most extensive and coldest anomalies across Eurasia, uniformly distributed over East Asia. The North type shows the coldest anomalies in Northeast Asia with weaker effects in southern East Asia. The weakening trend in CAO intensity observed in East Asia is primarily due to long-term changes in the Mixed and North types. Temperature anomaly patterns and circulation variations are diverse, with the South type associated with a pre-existing strong stratospheric polar vortex state, and the Mixed and North types with a pre-existing week vortex state. Under those stratospheric backgrounds, even similar wave activities can result in dissimilar upper-tropospheric circulation anomalies over East Asia, leading to different extents and magnitudes of anomalous coldness. This study provides valuable insights into the diversity of East Asian CAOs, essential for forecasting and managing associated risks in East Asia.
 
关键词
Cold air outbreaks; East Asia; Stratospheric harbingers
报告人
张晓祺
南京信息工程大学

稿件作者
张晓祺 南京信息工程大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月17日

    2025

    04月20日

    2025

  • 04月03日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 04月20日 2025

    注册截止日期

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中国科学院大气物理研究所
承办单位
中国科学院大气物理研究所
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