Linkage between the Siberian Storm Track and the East Asian Winter Precipitation
编号:288 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-27 16:48:12 浏览:8次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年04月18日 17:10(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:10min

所在会场:[S1-6] 专题1.6 气候变化驱动的大尺度环流变异与极端天气 [S1-6] 专题1.6 气候变化驱动的大尺度环流变异与极端天气

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摘要
The Siberian storm track, located in the central part of the Eurasian continent, is an essential component of the Northern Hemisphere storm track system and the most active region for synoptic-scale eddies over land. Anomalies in the Siberian storm track are not only closely linked to local weather and climate but also, within the context of large-scale circulation, have potential impacts on the climate variability in downstream East Asia. This study investigates the interannual relationship between the winter Siberian storm track (WSST) and East Asian winter precipitation and explores the underlying physical processes. The results show that a significant negative correlation between WSST intensity and precipitation along southeastern coastal China and the East China Sea. An intensified WSST corresponds to suppressed precipitation, driven by effects of anomalous atmospheric circulation and moisture transport. Mechanistically, the enhanced WSST triggers a distinct circulation pattern characterized by low-level northerly wind anomalies over eastern China and upper-level positive vorticity anomalies over the East China Sea. These anomalies induce cold advection and upper-level convergence, promoting subsidence that inhibits ascending motion in key precipitation regions. Concurrently, moisture flux divergence associated with the anomalous northerlies reduces moisture availability, compounding the precipitation deficit. The anomalous large-scale atmospheric circulation and baroclinicity may be sustained by the WSST-mean flow interaction. The feedback on the basic flow induced by the WSST anomalies tends to maintain the enhanced atmospheric baroclinicity, thereby perpetuating both the WSST anomalies themselves and anomalies in the atmospheric circulation. Furthermore, synoptic-scale disturbances originating from the winter Siberian storm track propagate southeastward, generating cyclonic circulation anomalies over the East China Sea. These disturbances enhance low-level convergence aloft while suppressing near-surface uplift, creating unfavorable conditions for precipitation formation. This research provides insights into how atmospheric circulation affects precipitation patterns, with implications for climate change adaptation and short-term climate prediction in East Asia.
关键词
Siberian storm track,East Asia,winter precipitation,interannual variation
报告人
逯纬锴
研究生 国防科技大学

稿件作者
逯纬锴 国防科技大学
杨明浩 中国人民解放军国防科技大学
陈雄 国防科大
南牧辰 国防科技大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月17日

    2025

    04月20日

    2025

  • 04月03日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 04月20日 2025

    注册截止日期

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中国科学院大气物理研究所
承办单位
中国科学院大气物理研究所
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