Hybrid Transition of Subseasonal Atmospheric Regimes and Its Impact on the Extreme ‘West Cold‐East Warm’ Mode in North America
编号:286 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-27 16:49:29 浏览:8次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年04月18日 17:50(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:10min

所在会场:[S1-6] 专题1.6 气候变化驱动的大尺度环流变异与极端天气 [S1-6] 专题1.6 气候变化驱动的大尺度环流变异与极端天气

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摘要
On February 22, 2023, North America experienced an unusual weather phenomenon characterised by extreme cold in the west and extreme warmth in the east, reflecting a surface air temperature (SAT) seesaw pattern that significantly impacted human activities in the region. Utilising reanalysis data, we analysed this case as well as similar events in long- term climate records. The results indicate that this extreme temperature mode is caused by a hybrid evolution of atypical North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) and Pacific- North American (PNA) phase relationships, transitioning from a dominant positive NPO phase to a strong negative PNA phase, while maintaining and developing Pacific blocking, which we refer to as a hybrid transition of atmospheric regimes. Further analysis revealed that the anomalously weak meridional potential vorticity gradient (PVy) in southern Alaska prior to the event provided favourable conditions for the northward movement and intensification of the anticyclone in the central North Pacific, serving as a key driving factor for the transition of circulation mode from positive NPO to negative PNA. Additionally, significant anomalous outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) in the tropical Indian Ocean prior to the event indicated enhanced convective activity in that region, which may have triggered meridional Rossby waves, thereby influencing the transition between NPO and PNA in mid to high latitudes. Thus, the anomalous PVy in southern Alaska and the OLR from the tropical Indian Ocean may serve as potential precursor indicators for such extreme weather events.
 
关键词
meridional potential vorticity gradient,outgoing longwave radiation,hybrid transition,NPO,PNA
报告人
郭睿伟
博士研究生 中国科学院大气物理研究所

稿件作者
郭睿伟 中国科学院大气物理研究所
姚遥 中国科学院大气物理研究所
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重要日期
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    04月17日

    2025

    04月20日

    2025

  • 04月03日 2025

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  • 04月20日 2025

    注册截止日期

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