Exploring changes of precipitation extremes under climate change through global variable-resolution modeling
编号:157 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-26 20:10:46 浏览:20次 特邀报告

报告开始:2025年04月19日 11:00(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S1-10] 专题1.10 极端天气气候事件的归因、机理与预估 [S1-10] 专题1.10 极端天气气候事件的归因、机理与预估

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摘要
Scientific assessments of precipitation extremes in response to climate change have become increasingly significant. However, conducting such assessments has always faced a dilemma. On the one hand, the widely-used storyline approach with pseudo-global-warming (PGW) experiment could capture precipitation extremes under climate change. Nevertheless, its capability of studying the impacts of multi-scale systems is restricted due to the limited-area simulation strategy. On the other hand, the global cloud-resolving simulation is an effective approach to study the performance of multi-scale systems under climate change. Yet, the current computing limitations pose a significant challenge conducting global ensemble experiments. Confronted with this dilemma. This study devised an innovative solution: The storyline approach with a global PGW experimental framework. This framework is grounded an advanced global model featuring variable-resolution modeling techniques coupled with data assimilation. by using the proposed framework with a 60-3 km variation-resolution global model, the researchers quantitatively unveiled the strong response of the 7•20 Henan precipitation extreme to global climate change. Moreover, they illustrated the impacts of multi-scale system interactions under climate change, spanning from the large-scale subtropical high and double typhoon down to the mesoscale convective system. This study not only provides a new approach to solve the dilemma in assessing the extreme events in response to climate change, but also opens avenues to study the impacts of climate change on extreme events from the perspective of multi- scale system interactions.
关键词
precipitation extreme,variable-resolution,climate warming
报告人
孙溦
副研究员 中国气象科学研究院

稿件作者
孙溦 中国气象科学研究院
李建 中国气象科学研究院
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月17日

    2025

    04月20日

    2025

  • 04月03日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 04月20日 2025

    注册截止日期

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中国科学院大气物理研究所
承办单位
中国科学院大气物理研究所
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