Redefined background state in the tropical Pacific resolves the entanglement between the background and ENSO
编号:376 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-04-10 19:30:04 浏览:781次 张贴报告

报告开始:2024年05月18日 10:57(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:1min

所在会场:[SP] 张贴报告专场 [sp12] 主题12、大气物理与气象气候

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摘要
Understanding the co-variability between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its background in the tropical Pacific is critical for projecting future ENSO. The difficulty is rooted in a circular logic that the background state routinely defined by multi-decadal mean modulates, and is modulated by, ENSO. This circularity arises due to the asymmetry between El Nino and La Nina, resulting in a non-zero mean, referred to as the ENSO rectification effect. Here, we develop a novel method based on Box–Cox normalization to define the tropical Pacific background and its associated anomalies, which removes the ENSO rectification effect and is referred to as the normalized mean state. The normalized mean state accurately quantifies ENSO-related anomalies, ENSO asymmetry and the ENSO rectification effect. It is evident in both observations and model simulations that the normalized mean state has a clear asymmetric impact on the amplitude of ENSO. A warm background weakens El Niño but strengthens La Niña through two key processes: the nonlinear response of precipitation to SST and oceanic zonal advection feedback. The normalized mean state successfully solves the circular reasoning fallacy resulting from ENSO asymmetry and offers a new framework to study ENSO and tropical climate dynamics with far-reaching impacts on global climate.
关键词
ENSO rectification effect,ENSO asymmetry,Climate background state,Interaction between ENSO and mean-state
报告人
陈悦
工程师 安徽省气象科学研究所

稿件作者
黄平 中国科学院大气物理研究所
陈悦 安徽省气象科学研究所
李金豹 香港大学
晏宏 中国科学院地球环境研究所
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    05月17日

    2024

    05月20日

    2024

  • 03月31日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 03月31日 2024

    报告提交截止日期

  • 05月20日 2024

    注册截止日期

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青年地学论坛理事会
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中国科学院城市环境研究所
自然资源部第三海洋研究所
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