Why was Pakistan extreme precipitation stronger in 2022 than in 2010?
编号:2026 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-05-08 13:40:51 浏览:748次 张贴报告

报告开始:2024年05月18日 08:28(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:1min

所在会场:[SP] 张贴报告专场 [sp12] 主题12、大气物理与气象气候

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摘要

In Pakistan, five continuous extreme precipitation events in the summer (July‒August) of 2022 caused disastrous floods, depriving thousands of people's lives and ruining millions of hometowns. This tremendous disaster in Pakistan also happened in 2010 but with three concentrated extreme precipitation events in the middle of summer. The amount of Pakistan heavy daily precipitation in 2022 surpasses that in 2010 record, making it the strongest precipitation event ever recorded. To comprehensively understand the causes of extreme precipitation in Pakistan, this study investigated the anomalies in atmospheric circulation and moisture contribution of 2010/2022 extreme precipitation and compared their differences. The results show that an atmospheric blocking over northern Europe in both 2022 and 2010 enhanced convection in Pakistan by transporting cold‒dry air from the high-latitude region and benefiting warm‒wet monsoonal air marching to Pakistan. By employing a moisture track model, the main moisture sources for summer precipitation in Pakistan were identified. It is found that moisture contributions except from Eurasia were enhanced, causing extreme precipitation. In particular, enhanced moisture contribution from the southern Indian Ocean and the northern Indian continent in 2022 are more prominent than that in 2010. The increased moisture contribution in 2010 was due to increased evaporation induced by warming sea surface in the Indian Ocean, while much richer moisture transport in 2022 was attributed to the enhanced cross‒equatorial flow induced by the anomalous subtropical high in the Southern Hemisphere. Therefore, attention should be paid to the role of subtropical high in the Southern Hemisphere in addition to those in Northern Hemisphere in understanding disastrous extreme precipitation events in Pakistan.

关键词
Extreme precipitation,moisture transport
报告人
袁旭
副教授 集美大学

稿件作者
袁旭 集美大学
阳坤 清华大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    05月17日

    2024

    05月20日

    2024

  • 03月31日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 03月31日 2024

    报告提交截止日期

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    注册截止日期

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青年地学论坛理事会
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厦门大学近海海洋环境科学国家重点实验室
中国科学院城市环境研究所
自然资源部第三海洋研究所
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