The intensified impact of El Niño on late-summer precipitation over East Asia since the early 1990s
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摘要
This study reveals a pronounced enhancement of the relationship between the winter El Niño and the following late-summer precipitation over East Asia since the early 1990s. Before the early 1990s, precipitation anomalies over East Asia were weak during the decaying phase of El Niño. In contrast, after the early 1990s, an evident dipole pattern of precipitation anomalies was observed, with centers of action over the central and southern parts of East Asia. The El Niño-induced atmospheric convection and anticyclonic anomalies over the western North Pacific (WNPAC) moved to the west after the early 1990s. Correspondingly, a Pacific-Japan-like atmospheric meridional wave pattern excited by the WNP anomalous convection shifted westward toward East Asia after the early 1990s. This resulted in an increased impact of the winter El Niño on the subsequent East Asian summer precipitation. The westward movement of WNP convection was related to the change in the El Niño decay time, which became shorter after the early 1990s. Specifically, sea surface temperature (SST) warming was still apparent in the equatorial eastern Pacific (EEP) before the early 1990s, while after the 1990s, the EEP was dominated by SST cooling, and significant SST warming could be observed in the maritime continent. The prominent SST warming in the maritime continent was accompanied by marked upward motion and excessive rainfall anomalies, which further contributed to the westward shift of the WNP convective center by modulating the local Hadley circulation. Further analysis indicated that the strengthening of El Niño-induced SST anomalies in the Indian Ocean might have partly contributed to the rapid decline of the El Niño events after the early 1990s.
关键词
El Niño,Late summer precipitation,East Asia,Interdecadal change
报告人
朴金玲
中国科学院大气物理研究所

稿件作者
朴金玲 中国科学院大气物理研究所
陈文 中国科学院大气物理研究所
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    07月27日

    2022

    07月28日

    2022

  • 06月30日 2022

    初稿截稿日期

  • 07月19日 2022

    注册截止日期

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