327 / 2019-02-23 19:05:44

Quantitative Measurement, Analysis of Land Use Change through Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Modelling

spatial indices,urbanisation,land use model,urban pattern analysis,urban planning

全体主题 > Urban Planning & Modeling

Urbanisation is irreversible and a major cause driving the land use pattern change in developing countries. Uncontrolled urban growth would lead to imbalance in availability of natural resources. Asia alone is projected to house 6.3 billion of total world urban population by the year 2050. Map-ping and monitoring urban pattern change is, therefore, crucial in land use management, designing policies for sustainable development in fu-ture. Current study we present analysis on characterising the spatio-temporal land use change through mapping spatial indices and modelling the likely land use change. Results of land use revealed extensive urban growth in the region. Urban expansion intensity for 2010-2017 was recorded as maximum with 1.19. Urban growth modelling for 2025 using business as usual scenario estimated an increase from 32.62% in 2017 to 59.11%. A range of statistical fit measures were employed to verify agreement between actual and predicted urban growth. Visualization of these results are vital, eventually, ease the process of urban planning and help administrators to visualise the growth pockets and propose policy measures with the sustainability agenda as a priority.